Taiwan on High Alert for Potential Chinese Military Drills Following President-elect's Inauguration

Taiwan is bracing for potential Chinese military exercises following the inauguration of President-elect Lai Ching-te on May 20, 2024. The island's National Security Bureau Director-General Tsai Ming-yen noted that China typically conducts such drills from June to November, and the bureau is closely monitoring whether China will use this period as an excuse to further pressure Taiwan.

China has a strong dislike of Lai, whom it views as a dangerous separatist, and has rejected his offers of talks. The Chinese military has significantly increased its activities around Taiwan in recent years, including major war games after visits by U.S. officials. Taiwan-based security sources have warned that China could show its displeasure with Lai using the military.

Why this matters: The stability of the Taiwan Strait is of critical importance to the international community, including China. The potential for increased Chinese military activity following Lai's inauguration highlights the ongoing tensions between Taiwan and China, and the need for diplomatic efforts to maintain peace in the region.

Since Lai's election victory, China has continued to pressure Taiwan, including through coast guard patrols and new air routes in the Taiwan Strait. However, China has also offered to resume limited Chinese tourism to Taiwan, which the Taiwanese government is still considering. Tsai Ming-yen stated, "Maintaining stability in the Taiwan Strait is in the interests of the international community, including China."

The incoming government's China policy is a key concern, as China seeks to influence Taiwan through a combination of military pressure and economic incentives. Taiwan remains vigilant and prepared for any potential Chinese military actions in the coming months, while also considering the potential benefits of resumed tourism from the mainland.

Key Takeaways

• Taiwan braces for potential Chinese military exercises after Lai's inauguration in May 2024.
• China views Lai as a dangerous separatist, rejecting his offers of talks and increasing military activities.
• Stability of Taiwan Strait is critical, with potential for increased Chinese military activity post-inauguration.
• China pressures Taiwan through military, coast guard, and air route actions, but offers limited tourism resumption.
• Taiwan remains vigilant and prepared for potential Chinese military actions, while considering tourism benefits.