Biden Faces Declining Support Among Young Voters in Key Swing State

President Joe Biden's support among young voters in Pennsylvania has declined, with only 36% backing him in a recent poll. Economic concerns and dissatisfaction with his performance are driving young people to consider alternative candidates, including Donald Trump.

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Aqsa Younas Rana
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Biden Faces Declining Support Among Young Voters in Key Swing State

Biden Faces Declining Support Among Young Voters in Key Swing State

President Joe Biden is facing declining support among young voters in Pennsylvania, a critical swing state he won in 2020 and needs to win again to have any hope of victory in 2024, according to a recent poll. The poll, conducted from April 28 to May 7, reveals that Biden's support has waned since 2020, with only 36% of voters aged 18-29 backing him when third-party candidates are included.

Why this matters: The decline in support among young voters could have significant implications for the 2024 presidential election, potentially shifting the balance of power in key swing states. If Biden fails to win back the support of young voters, it could lead to a Republican victory and a change in national policy direction.

Economic concerns, including student debt and job insecurity, are driving the decline in support among young people. In a two-way race, Biden trails former President Donald Trump 47% to 44% among registered voters in Pennsylvania. When third-party candidates are included, Biden's support drops to 36%, with Trump leading 44% to 36%. Young voters are roughly evenly split between Biden and Trump, a significant shift from 2020 when Biden won this demographic by 30 points.

Biden's approval rating is lower among young voters than statewide, with 55% of young voters disapproving of his job performance. Young voters also trust Trump more than Biden on issues like the economy and national security. "Things are more expensive. Gas, groceries, rent, all those types of things," said Giorgio Vavlas, a 24-year-old voter from Pittston, Luzerne County, who backed Biden in 2020 but is now undecided. "I don't think he's been necessarily the best as president. And then the other thing is, when you see him on TV, he doesn't always seem the most competent."

John Robinson, a 24-year-old middle school teacher from Pittsburgh who reluctantly supports Biden, expressed doubts about the president's capabilities, saying, "I don't think he's fully capable. He's too old to do the job." Despite making multiple visits to Pennsylvania in recent months, Biden's efforts have not seemed to improve his standing among voters. Trump leads Biden on nearly every issue polled, except abortion, even while spending less time on the campaign trail and facing legal challenges.

The New York Times poll also reveals that Biden is facing declining support among young and nonwhite voters in other crucial battleground states like Michigan, Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia, primarily due to economic concerns and the war in Gaza. The only state where Biden currently leads is Wisconsin. The polls suggest that young Black and Hispanic voters are increasingly dissatisfied with the economy and the war in Gaza, which is eroding support for the president.

As the 2024 presidential election approaches, President Biden faces an uphill battle in winning back the support of young voters in key swing states like Pennsylvania. Economic concerns and dissatisfaction with his performance are driving many young people to consider alternatives, including his likely Republican opponent, Donald Trump. The outcome in these battleground states could ultimately decide the next occupant of the White House.

Key Takeaways

  • President Biden's support among young voters in PA has dropped to 36% with third-party candidates.
  • Economic concerns, such as student debt and job insecurity, are driving the decline in support.
  • Biden trails Trump 47% to 44% in a two-way race among registered PA voters.
  • Young voters trust Trump more than Biden on issues like the economy and national security.
  • Biden faces declining support among young and nonwhite voters in other key battleground states.