Trump Gains Black Voter Support as Biden's Approval Drops, Impacting 2024 Race

As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, former President Donald Trump is securing backing among black voters while President Joe Biden's approval rating continues to decline, potentially reshaping the political landscape. Recent polls show Trump meeting or exceeding his 2020 vote percentages in key battleground states, while Biden trails his previous numbers.

A New York Times and Siena College poll released in November 2023 reported that Trump led Biden in several crucial states, including Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The latest FOX News poll also showed Trump and Biden tied in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, with Trump holding a slight advantage in Georgia and Michigan, though both were within the margin of sampling error.

Black voters, a traditionally Democratic voting bloc, are expressing dissatisfaction with the lack of economic growth under Biden's administration. Many are struggling to make ends meet, working multiple jobs to cope with high prices for groceries, housing, and student loan payments. This economic strain is pushing some to consider alternative candidates, including independent options.

A poll from January 2024 revealed a significant drop in Black voter backing for Biden, falling from 92% in 2016 to 75% in 2024. While Biden has announced new plans for student debt forgiveness, the Black community continues to face economic challenges. Some are also disappointed with Biden's handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict and are considering third-party or independent candidates like Dr. Cornel West.

Why this matters: The shifting support among Black voters could have a profound impact on the 2024 presidential election, as they have been a reliable Democratic voting bloc in the past. If Trump continues to gain ground with this demographic while Biden's approval rating remains low, it could potentially tip the scales in key battleground states and determine the outcome of the election.

As the race heats up, both political efforts are focusing their efforts on swing states. Biden is preparing a campaign swing through battleground Pennsylvania, while Trump has been emphasizing his economic plans, including extending the tax cuts approved in 2017. However, Trump's legal troubles continue to loom over his campaign, with 54% of voters saying they feel he has committed serious federal crimes, according to the Times/Siena poll.

The tight race between Trump and Biden is evident in the latest nationwide poll from the New York Times and Siena College, which shows registered voters split 46% for Trump and 45% for Biden, with no clear leader. Most voters still say the U.S. is heading in the wrong direction, and Biden's approval rating remains deeply negative, with ratings of the economy more bad than good. As the 2024 election draws closer, the battle for Black voter support and the impact of Biden's approval rating will be crucial factors in determining the outcome of the presidential race.

Key Takeaways

• Trump gaining ground with Black voters as Biden's approval declines
• Polls show tight race between Trump and Biden in key battleground states
• Black voters dissatisfied with Biden's economic performance, considering alternatives
• Shifting Black voter support could significantly impact 2024 election outcome
• Both campaigns focus efforts on swing states as legal issues loom over Trump