Mets Aim to Avoid Sweep Against Giants in Series Finale at Oracle Park

The Mets face the Giants in the final game of their series, with the Mets as slight favorites to break their 3-game losing streak and avoid a series sweep.

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Salman Khan
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Mets Aim to Avoid Sweep Against Giants in Series Finale at Oracle Park

Mets Aim to Avoid Sweep Against Giants in Series Finale at Oracle Park

The New York Mets (12-11) will face the San Francisco Giants (12-13) in the final game of their series on Wednesday, April 25, 2024 at 3:45 PM ET at Oracle Park in San Francisco. The Mets, listed as -115 favorites, are looking to break a three-game losing streak and prevent a series sweep by the Giants.

Sean Manaea (1-1, 4.12 ERA) will start on the mound for the Mets, while Ryan Walker will take the hill for the Giants. Manaea's underlying metrics, including a 5.80 xERA, indicate he may not sustain his performance going forward. On the other hand, the Giants' ace Blake Snell has struggled mightily this season, posting a 11.57 ERA and a WHIP approaching 2.00, despite his more promising 3.72 xFIP.

The Mets' offense, which ranks 11th in MLB, has sputtered recently, managing only three runs on 20 hits over their last three games. They will need strong performances from key contributors like Pete Alonso, Starling Marte, Francisco Lindor, and Brandon Nimmo to regain their footing. The Giants' lineup, led by Michael Conforto, Jung Hoo Lee, Matt Chapman, and Jorge Soler, ranks 17th in the league but has been bolstered by solid defense.

Why this matters: The outcome of this game could have implications for the competitive standings in both the NL East and NL West divisions. The Mets are trying to keep pace with the division-leading Braves, while the Giants aim to close the gap on the Dodgers in a tight NL West race.

Despite the Mets' recent struggles and the Giants' home-field advantage, betting trends favor the Mets. Dimers.com's predictive model, known for its accuracy, simulates the game 10,000 times and gives the Mets a 48% win probability compared to the Giants' 52%. The Mets have a 5-6 record as -115 or shorter favorites, while the Giants are 4-10 as +104 or longer underdogs. Ultimately, the Mets' superior pitching and strong lineup make them slight favorites to cover the runline and secure a much-needed win to avoid the sweep.

Key Takeaways

  • Mets (-115) face Giants in series finale, looking to avoid 3-game sweep.
  • Mets' Manaea (1-1, 4.12 ERA) vs. Giants' Walker, with Manaea's metrics suggesting regression.
  • Mets' offense has sputtered, needing big games from Alonso, Marte, Lindor, Nimmo.
  • Outcome could impact NL East and NL West division races, with Mets chasing Braves, Giants chasing Dodgers.
  • Betting trends favor Mets, with Dimers.com model giving them 48% win probability.